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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
59.7
13.9
45.7
150.7
29.1
45.9
83.1
39.8
82
52
Mika ZibanejadNYR · C
74.6
29.3
45.3
211.3
30.8
79.4
50.4
18.8
82
53
Matt DucheneDAL · C
69.2
24.7
44.4
146.3
24.5
38.6
36.0
18.4
82
54
Troy TerryANA · R
68.6
24.3
44.4
203.7
14.3
10.1
26.2
19.7
82
55
Brandon HagelTBL · L
81.4
37.1
44.4
221.7
11.6
61.6
49.4
68.3
82
56
Matt BoldyMIN · L
82.8
38.4
44.3
272.7
27.0
65.1
58.3
39.4
82
57
Dylan StromeWSH · C
67.1
23.1
44.0
150.2
25.1
17.1
54.4
37.6
82
58
Travis KonecnyPHI · R
71.2
27.2
44.0
191.8
13.9
118.4
40.7
73.2
82
59
Jake SandersonOTT · D
57.2
13.3
43.9
178.2
25.0
42.8
159.8
14.2
82
60
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
55.9
12.3
43.6
161.2
13.1
10.2
123.3
27.7
82
61
Moritz SeiderDET · D
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
62
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · L
71.2
27.9
43.3
212.9
23.7
37.4
30.6
19.6
82
63
Auston MatthewsTOR · C
86.0
42.9
43.1
326.8
23.4
78.2
105.4
23.4
82
64
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
64.5
21.5
43.0
162.8
24.3
87.7
101.8
18.8
82
65
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
65.1
22.5
42.6
163.3
29.8
46.2
43.2
26.8
82
66
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
66.8
24.3
42.5
160.3
19.9
21.2
65.6
22.2
82
67
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
68
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C
69.1
27.3
41.8
191.0
20.2
23.7
49.6
22.0
82
69
Roope HintzDAL · C
69.3
28.2
41.2
186.2
24.9
72.1
41.6
30.3
82
70
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
51.3
10.2
41.2
141.9
13.7
76.5
133.9
23.7
82
71
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
72
Brady TkachukFLA · L
72.6
31.9
40.8
319.5
25.2
250.4
30.0
120.9
82
73
Sam ReinhartFLA · C
80.2
40.0
40.2
221.0
29.4
92.4
61.8
21.4
82
74
Brad MarchandFLA · L
74.0
33.9
40.1
213.4
25.3
88.2
33.2
79.7
82
75
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
57.2
17.3
39.8
128.9
27.9
94.2
37.3
46.4
82
76
Anton FrondellCHI · C12 sample
59.7
20.0
39.7
237.1
13.2
58.2
87.2
28.3
82
77
Filip ForsbergNSH · L
77.9
38.3
39.6
268.6
26.6
135.3
40.4
37.6
82
78
Tage ThompsonBUF · C
80.6
41.0
39.6
275.1
23.5
85.3
41.8
46.1
82
79
Brayden PointTBL · C
73.4
33.9
39.5
190.8
22.6
24.6
38.1
16.2
82
80
Alex DeBrincatDET · R
77.1
37.6
39.5
266.5
24.4
47.3
38.2
25.3
82
81
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
57.1
17.6
39.5
129.9
20.3
42.1
28.6
31.5
82
82
Anze KopitarLAK · C
58.4
18.9
39.5
123.8
18.5
45.3
73.7
10.9
82
83
Filip HronekVAN · D
46.9
7.5
39.5
133.6
16.3
124.8
96.4
38.8
82
84
Dylan LarkinDET · C
74.5
35.2
39.2
248.4
27.0
50.5
35.6
48.3
82
85
William EklundOTT · L
55.6
16.5
39.2
169.7
16.8
65.5
55.3
32.6
82
86
Drake BathersonOTT · R
69.7
30.7
39.1
185.2
29.0
137.8
27.3
37.6
82
87
Ryan UfkoNSH · D19 sample
48.2
9.1
39.1
52.9
8.8
49.3
58.1
27.3
82
88
Nico HischierNJD · C
70.3
31.3
39.0
212.0
23.6
56.7
62.0
23.6
82
89
John TavaresTOR · C
71.8
33.2
38.5
220.3
21.7
98.1
36.3
35.4
82
90
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · R
67.5
29.2
38.3
221.7
20.8
61.6
42.6
27.4
82
91
Adrian KempeLAK · R
74.0
35.9
38.1
237.1
17.5
121.7
38.6
55.0
82
92
Bryan RustPIT · R
70.4
32.3
38.1
217.8
22.8
57.9
69.7
28.1
82
93
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
63.4
25.3
38.1
232.0
20.9
205.9
28.0
51.2
82
94
Mikael GranlundANA · C
60.6
22.7
37.9
156.8
20.6
74.2
59.3
28.3
82
95
Leo CarlssonANA · C
65.8
28.1
37.8
194.6
16.3
26.3
35.3
27.1
82
96
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C
55.6
18.1
37.5
146.0
14.1
84.7
48.6
75.2
82
97
Luke HughesNJD · D
45.3
7.8
37.5
161.0
17.9
23.3
63.6
30.9
82
98
Will SmithSJS · C
62.8
25.4
37.4
177.1
17.7
18.2
16.0
19.5
82
99
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
100
Nazem KadriCOL · C
61.0
23.9
37.0
249.0
21.4
61.4
28.9
45.4
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.