ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
26.3
24.9
1.4
128.3
0.5
116.9
47.4
60.2
82
102
Jake DeBruskVAN · L
45.5
24.9
20.6
202.5
20.3
88.0
40.8
15.6
82
103
Cale MakarCOL · D
86.2
24.9
61.3
234.1
32.4
46.3
135.5
23.2
82
104
Tyler SeguinDAL · C
56.1
24.8
31.3
159.9
11.9
68.8
22.7
21.1
82
105
Matt DucheneDAL · C
69.2
24.7
44.4
146.3
24.5
38.6
36.0
18.4
82
106
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C
59.4
24.7
34.7
246.0
19.6
139.6
50.4
44.3
82
107
Matthew KniesTOR · L
60.2
24.6
35.6
146.7
13.3
171.1
37.2
36.7
82
108
JJ PeterkaBOS · R
50.9
24.5
26.4
168.6
8.6
24.6
18.0
30.0
82
109
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
39.1
24.5
14.7
118.2
0.3
89.6
40.4
8.5
82
110
Beckett SenneckeANA · R
57.4
24.3
33.0
200.8
13.9
97.7
24.0
57.4
82
111
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
66.8
24.3
42.5
160.3
19.9
21.2
65.6
22.2
82
112
Troy TerryANA · R
68.6
24.3
44.4
203.7
14.3
10.1
26.2
19.7
82
113
Nazem KadriCOL · C
61.0
23.9
37.0
249.0
21.4
61.4
28.9
45.4
82
114
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R
58.3
23.8
34.5
190.9
10.6
82.2
45.5
19.4
82
115
Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L
53.6
23.8
29.8
153.0
0.9
34.3
43.0
18.3
82
116
Kyle PalmieriNYI · C
51.7
23.7
28.0
197.4
12.9
71.3
40.9
28.5
82
117
Dylan CozensOTT · C
53.7
23.7
30.0
200.0
20.0
192.9
30.5
58.6
82
118
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
54.3
23.6
30.7
143.8
4.9
64.6
67.1
48.4
82
119
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
53.5
23.6
29.9
211.5
16.2
97.5
19.0
38.4
82
120
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.1
23.6
35.5
139.2
16.6
76.4
27.6
25.0
82
121
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L
54.2
23.5
30.7
190.9
10.7
146.9
47.4
67.6
82
122
Shane PintoOTT · C
46.6
23.5
23.1
169.2
5.3
98.6
63.5
38.9
82
123
Jordan EberleSEA · R
54.2
23.4
30.8
166.3
14.4
47.6
40.7
27.0
82
124
Logan CoutureSJS · C
58.7
23.3
35.5
189.2
17.1
116.6
71.0
23.3
82
125
Dylan StromeWSH · C
67.1
23.1
44.0
150.2
25.1
17.1
54.4
37.6
82
126
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
55.0
23.0
32.0
214.6
16.8
66.3
121.8
60.9
82
127
Jesper BrattNJD · L
76.5
23.0
53.6
192.9
24.1
74.9
31.2
13.4
82
128
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
129
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
58.7
22.9
35.9
220.9
17.9
40.7
110.5
38.0
82
130
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
131
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
57.8
22.8
35.0
159.1
15.7
43.3
36.7
33.5
82
132
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L
44.3
22.8
21.5
154.1
11.4
111.7
43.5
68.8
82
133
Logan StankovenCAR · C
46.1
22.8
23.3
183.1
8.9
71.1
26.7
23.3
82
134
Mikael GranlundANA · C
60.6
22.7
37.9
156.8
20.6
74.2
59.3
28.3
82
135
Anders LeeUTA · L
45.2
22.5
22.7
206.3
8.7
113.1
41.0
46.0
82
136
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
65.1
22.5
42.6
163.3
29.8
46.2
43.2
26.8
82
137
Patrick KaneCHI · R
70.1
22.5
47.6
214.7
26.5
23.4
27.4
18.9
82
138
Brett HowdenVGK · C
36.9
22.4
14.5
109.6
1.7
153.0
42.5
48.4
82
139
Mason MarchmentSJS · L
52.3
22.4
29.9
154.5
9.5
126.0
34.6
69.2
82
140
Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L
52.0
22.3
29.7
165.2
9.8
100.3
34.3
28.8
82
141
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R
51.2
22.2
29.0
176.2
10.0
78.1
38.7
48.3
82
142
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
55.4
22.2
33.2
129.7
4.7
184.6
39.5
22.5
82
143
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L
39.5
22.1
17.5
170.0
8.1
395.2
32.9
49.7
82
144
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
82.5
22.0
60.5
281.2
22.1
28.8
118.3
23.9
82
145
Ryan HartmanMIN · R
45.5
21.9
23.5
193.0
8.2
80.4
82.8
74.1
82
146
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
38.7
21.8
16.9
144.6
2.7
215.6
52.3
42.7
82
147
Josh DoanBUF · R
49.0
21.7
27.3
167.2
14.6
84.8
28.1
24.7
82
148
Adam SykoraNYR · L11 sample
30.5
21.7
8.8
113.4
0.7
145.1
74.0
37.5
82
149
Jackson BlakeCAR · R
51.5
21.6
29.9
167.1
10.3
27.7
35.5
48.2
82
150
Blake ColemanMIN · L
42.3
21.6
20.7
202.1
2.4
167.5
58.3
54.7
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.