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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Brock NelsonCOL · C
60.8
30.0
30.9
195.6
13.8
44.9
60.4
33.4
82
102
Mikael GranlundANA · C
60.6
22.7
37.9
156.8
20.6
74.2
59.3
28.3
82
103
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
104
Matthew KniesTOR · L
60.2
24.6
35.6
146.7
13.3
171.1
37.2
36.7
82
105
Dylan HollowaySTL · L
59.8
26.0
33.8
189.8
10.1
181.7
52.7
25.9
82
106
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
59.7
13.9
45.7
150.7
29.1
45.9
83.1
39.8
82
107
Anton FrondellCHI · C12 sample
59.7
20.0
39.7
237.1
13.2
58.2
87.2
28.3
82
108
Sam BennettFLA · C
59.4
28.7
30.8
230.1
14.4
173.4
40.6
99.6
82
109
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C
59.4
24.7
34.7
246.0
19.6
139.6
50.4
44.3
82
110
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
111
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.1
23.6
35.5
139.2
16.6
76.4
27.6
25.0
82
112
John CarlsonTBL · D
59.0
11.3
47.7
176.8
16.8
51.0
135.7
31.6
82
113
Mikhail SergachevUTA · D
58.9
11.0
47.9
153.2
23.8
62.5
143.1
45.0
82
114
Morgan GeekieBOS · C
58.8
32.5
26.4
162.8
16.1
118.0
36.5
26.9
82
115
Tomas HertlVGK · C
58.8
25.8
33.0
192.1
24.7
123.8
49.4
31.7
82
116
Logan CoutureSJS · C
58.7
23.3
35.5
189.2
17.1
116.6
71.0
23.3
82
117
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
58.7
22.9
35.9
220.9
17.9
40.7
110.5
38.0
82
118
Valeri NichushkinCBJ · R
58.7
26.7
32.0
195.5
10.3
89.7
36.0
22.7
82
119
Anze KopitarLAK · C
58.4
18.9
39.5
123.8
18.5
45.3
73.7
10.9
82
120
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R
58.3
23.8
34.5
190.9
10.6
82.2
45.5
19.4
82
121
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
57.8
22.8
35.0
159.1
15.7
43.3
36.7
33.5
82
122
Beckett SenneckeANA · R
57.4
24.3
33.0
200.8
13.9
97.7
24.0
57.4
82
123
Jake SandersonOTT · D
57.2
13.3
43.9
178.2
25.0
42.8
159.8
14.2
82
124
Cole HutsonWSH · D14 sample
57.2
17.3
39.8
128.9
27.9
94.2
37.3
46.4
82
125
Pavel DorofeyevNYR · R
57.2
35.6
21.6
229.2
23.1
27.5
31.8
22.1
82
126
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
57.1
17.6
39.5
129.9
20.3
42.1
28.6
31.5
82
127
Brock BoeserVAN · R
56.9
27.3
29.6
181.1
21.1
63.9
32.0
14.3
82
128
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
129
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
56.1
25.7
30.4
204.5
9.5
127.9
51.8
31.0
82
130
Tyler SeguinDAL · C
56.1
24.8
31.3
159.9
11.9
68.8
22.7
21.1
82
131
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
55.9
12.3
43.6
161.2
13.1
10.2
123.3
27.7
82
132
Anthony ManthaNJD · R
55.9
28.2
27.7
144.3
10.6
69.0
40.2
53.4
82
133
William EklundOTT · L
55.6
16.5
39.2
169.7
16.8
65.5
55.3
32.6
82
134
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C
55.6
18.1
37.5
146.0
14.1
84.7
48.6
75.2
82
135
Artturi LehkonenCOL · L
55.5
27.2
28.2
178.7
6.7
76.5
44.7
26.9
82
136
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
55.4
22.2
33.2
129.7
4.7
184.6
39.5
22.5
82
137
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
55.0
25.9
29.1
134.6
14.4
51.5
39.1
18.3
82
138
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
55.0
23.0
32.0
214.6
16.8
66.3
121.8
60.9
82
139
Tyler ToffoliSJS · C
54.4
25.6
28.8
209.2
16.6
58.1
28.6
13.6
82
140
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L
54.3
28.0
26.3
161.5
19.0
68.8
30.3
49.2
82
141
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
54.3
23.6
30.7
143.8
4.9
64.6
67.1
48.4
82
142
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L
54.2
23.5
30.7
190.9
10.7
146.9
47.4
67.6
82
143
Jordan EberleSEA · R
54.2
23.4
30.8
166.3
14.4
47.6
40.7
27.0
82
144
Viktor ArvidssonDET · L
54.1
25.3
28.8
207.1
9.8
36.8
41.5
28.9
82
145
Chris KreiderANA · L
54.1
28.1
26.0
175.7
18.2
102.5
24.7
30.1
82
146
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
147
Josh NorrisBUF · C
54.0
25.4
28.6
143.4
16.3
118.2
53.2
51.9
82
148
Dylan CozensOTT · C
53.7
23.7
30.0
200.0
20.0
192.9
30.5
58.6
82
149
Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L
53.6
23.8
29.8
153.0
0.9
34.3
43.0
18.3
82
150
Marco RossiVAN · C
53.6
21.1
32.4
127.7
16.7
64.1
44.0
27.4
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.