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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
Elias LindholmBOS · C
53.5
20.3
33.2
154.2
18.3
88.7
69.7
30.8
82
152
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
53.5
23.6
29.9
211.5
16.2
97.5
19.0
38.4
82
153
Chandler StephensonSEA · C
53.1
16.2
37.0
95.5
16.4
36.2
53.9
22.5
82
154
Timo MeierNJD · R
53.1
28.1
25.0
275.7
13.3
146.7
58.8
41.2
82
155
Matvei MichkovPHI · R
53.0
20.9
32.0
174.8
13.0
33.3
22.3
63.4
82
156
Claude GirouxOTT · R
52.9
16.4
36.5
152.6
15.9
66.0
31.6
21.6
82
157
Patrik LaineMTL · L
52.6
27.5
25.1
192.3
23.1
42.8
39.4
26.5
82
158
Moritz SeiderDET · D
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
159
Jason ZuckerBUF · L
52.4
25.3
27.1
166.7
18.4
97.3
27.1
47.7
82
160
Mason MarchmentSJS · L
52.3
22.4
29.9
154.5
9.5
126.0
34.6
69.2
82
161
Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L
52.0
22.3
29.7
165.2
9.8
100.3
34.3
28.8
82
162
Kyle PalmieriNYI · C
51.7
23.7
28.0
197.4
12.9
71.3
40.9
28.5
82
163
Jackson BlakeCAR · R
51.5
21.6
29.9
167.1
10.3
27.7
35.5
48.2
82
164
Taylor HallCAR · L
51.5
20.0
31.5
161.6
8.6
60.9
38.0
42.8
82
165
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
51.3
10.2
41.2
141.9
13.7
76.5
133.9
23.7
82
166
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R
51.2
22.2
29.0
176.2
10.0
78.1
38.7
48.3
82
167
JJ PeterkaBOS · R
50.9
24.5
26.4
168.6
8.6
24.6
18.0
30.0
82
168
Sean MonahanCBJ · C
50.7
18.4
32.2
155.5
14.2
46.0
40.2
17.6
82
169
Anton LundellFLA · C
50.4
19.0
31.4
168.1
11.0
93.4
50.2
42.0
82
170
William KarlssonVGK · C
50.3
20.4
29.9
169.8
8.2
37.3
60.4
15.1
82
171
Boone JennerWSH · C
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
172
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
49.5
18.9
30.6
134.6
10.0
118.1
57.9
22.6
82
173
Luke EvangelistaNSH · R
49.2
13.0
36.2
173.8
13.1
26.5
20.3
26.4
82
174
Vince DunnSEA · D
49.2
12.4
36.8
175.5
19.1
42.4
90.9
59.2
82
175
Owen TippettPHI · R
49.1
25.8
23.4
222.8
7.3
160.6
55.3
23.8
82
176
Jamie BennDAL · L
49.1
18.3
30.8
130.2
12.1
127.5
41.3
71.0
82
177
Josh DoanBUF · R
49.0
21.7
27.3
167.2
14.6
84.8
28.1
24.7
82
178
Mason McTavishSTL · C
48.8
19.7
29.1
172.1
13.0
97.1
36.8
49.4
82
179
Ryan UfkoNSH · D19 sample
48.2
9.1
39.1
52.9
8.8
49.3
58.1
27.3
82
180
Jack QuinnBUF · R
48.0
18.5
29.5
169.9
12.2
55.4
24.6
17.2
82
181
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN · R
47.8
21.0
26.8
159.4
11.9
76.6
39.5
10.9
82
182
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
47.7
16.1
31.6
107.4
9.7
33.2
27.3
19.2
82
183
Frank NazarCHI · C
47.6
18.6
29.0
161.5
12.3
46.3
53.6
33.5
82
184
Connor McMichaelSTL · L
47.5
18.7
28.8
154.5
6.3
46.6
43.0
35.9
82
185
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
47.3
16.9
30.4
117.4
21.0
23.6
38.2
10.1
82
186
Matty BeniersSEA · C
47.3
19.8
27.6
147.4
10.7
41.0
66.8
19.1
82
187
Noah DobsonMTL · D
47.1
10.9
36.1
179.2
11.4
70.5
172.4
32.0
82
188
Andrei KuzmenkoPIT · L
47.0
21.2
25.8
117.1
19.9
25.2
23.5
20.5
82
189
Filip HronekVAN · D
46.9
7.5
39.5
133.6
16.3
124.8
96.4
38.8
82
190
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D
46.9
13.2
33.7
226.3
17.1
92.8
90.9
50.6
82
191
Ryan McLeodBUF · C
46.7
14.7
32.0
97.5
5.5
28.8
34.2
17.2
82
192
Shane PintoOTT · C
46.6
23.5
23.1
169.2
5.3
98.6
63.5
38.9
82
193
Brock FaberMIN · D
46.3
13.8
32.5
159.2
11.1
40.2
143.9
36.1
82
194
Logan StankovenCAR · C
46.1
22.8
23.3
183.1
8.9
71.1
26.7
23.3
82
195
Brayden SchennNYI · C
45.7
19.0
26.7
135.8
9.6
182.6
46.8
69.9
82
196
Seth JonesFLA · D
45.7
11.3
34.4
159.3
20.8
102.9
123.0
31.4
82
197
Matt CoronatoCGY · R
45.6
19.8
25.8
194.3
15.3
28.2
28.2
29.6
82
198
Jake DeBruskVAN · L
45.5
24.9
20.6
202.5
20.3
88.0
40.8
15.6
82
199
Alexander WennbergSJS · C
45.5
14.6
30.9
92.9
11.9
35.6
87.9
17.6
82
200
Ryan HartmanMIN · R
45.5
21.9
23.5
193.0
8.2
80.4
82.8
74.1
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.