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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Wyatt JohnstonDAL · C
73.8
37.9
35.9
204.8
30.3
59.9
48.3
26.6
82
52
Brayden PointTBL · C
73.4
33.9
39.5
190.8
22.6
24.6
38.1
16.2
82
53
Lane HutsonMTL · D
73.3
10.2
63.1
114.8
25.6
35.4
131.6
35.6
82
54
Brady TkachukFLA · L
72.6
31.9
40.8
319.5
25.2
250.4
30.0
120.9
82
55
Mats ZuccarelloLAK · C
72.4
20.6
51.8
177.3
28.5
36.0
45.6
27.5
82
56
John TavaresTOR · C
71.8
33.2
38.5
220.3
21.7
98.1
36.3
35.4
82
57
Dylan GuentherUTA · R
71.6
37.2
34.4
246.2
26.2
72.1
35.6
29.0
82
58
Alex OvechkinWSH · L
71.5
38.4
33.1
268.1
23.1
149.9
19.2
25.6
82
59
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
71.5
19.7
51.8
199.0
20.3
39.4
51.6
48.3
82
60
Travis KonecnyPHI · R
71.2
27.2
44.0
191.8
13.9
118.4
40.7
73.2
82
61
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · L
71.2
27.9
43.3
212.9
23.7
37.4
30.6
19.6
82
62
Bryan RustPIT · R
70.4
32.3
38.1
217.8
22.8
57.9
69.7
28.1
82
63
Nico HischierNJD · C
70.3
31.3
39.0
212.0
23.6
56.7
62.0
23.6
82
64
Patrick KaneCHI · R
70.1
22.5
47.6
214.7
26.5
23.4
27.4
18.9
82
65
Drake BathersonOTT · R
69.7
30.7
39.1
185.2
29.0
137.8
27.3
37.6
82
66
Roope HintzDAL · C
69.3
28.2
41.2
186.2
24.9
72.1
41.6
30.3
82
67
Matt DucheneDAL · C
69.2
24.7
44.4
146.3
24.5
38.6
36.0
18.4
82
68
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C
69.1
27.3
41.8
191.0
20.2
23.7
49.6
22.0
82
69
Seth JarvisCAR · R
68.8
32.0
36.9
224.5
20.5
114.8
46.6
21.0
82
70
Roman JosiNSH · D
68.8
17.1
51.6
237.8
29.1
43.4
135.7
36.6
82
71
Troy TerryANA · R
68.6
24.3
44.4
203.7
14.3
10.1
26.2
19.7
82
72
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · R
67.5
29.2
38.3
221.7
20.8
61.6
42.6
27.4
82
73
Steven StamkosNSH · C
67.4
37.7
29.7
209.8
27.3
86.6
41.2
51.6
82
74
Dylan StromeWSH · C
67.1
23.1
44.0
150.2
25.1
17.1
54.4
37.6
82
75
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
66.8
24.3
42.5
160.3
19.9
21.2
65.6
22.2
82
76
Alex TuchWSH · R
66.5
32.7
33.8
210.8
10.1
91.1
96.2
52.6
82
77
Gabriel VilardiWPG · C
66.2
29.8
36.4
155.8
23.7
27.1
43.1
23.1
82
78
Zach HymanEDM · L
66.1
39.8
26.3
240.2
17.8
119.9
29.6
41.6
82
79
Leo CarlssonANA · C
65.8
28.1
37.8
194.6
16.3
26.3
35.3
27.1
82
80
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R
65.5
29.0
36.5
214.3
24.9
190.8
22.8
77.5
82
81
Cutter GauthierANA · L
65.3
34.7
30.6
265.3
18.9
85.1
31.1
26.8
82
82
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
65.2
14.7
50.5
194.9
23.4
28.2
81.3
30.8
82
83
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
65.1
22.5
42.6
163.3
29.8
46.2
43.2
26.8
82
84
Bo HorvatNYI · C
65.1
34.0
31.2
257.1
15.7
74.8
44.9
35.4
82
85
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
86
Kevin FialaLAK · L
64.7
29.8
34.9
232.4
26.3
66.8
29.8
49.3
82
87
Elias PetterssonVAN · C
64.5
21.5
43.0
162.8
24.3
87.7
101.8
18.8
82
88
Tom WilsonWSH · R
63.6
31.3
32.3
174.6
14.7
228.7
67.3
126.9
82
89
Porter MartonePHI · R19 sample
63.4
25.3
38.1
232.0
20.9
205.9
28.0
51.2
82
90
Will SmithSJS · C
62.8
25.4
37.4
177.1
17.7
18.2
16.0
19.5
82
91
Rickard RakellPIT · R
62.6
30.0
32.6
216.3
18.4
115.1
60.8
13.9
82
92
Carter VerhaegheFLA · C
62.5
27.4
35.1
222.7
15.1
85.4
25.7
39.0
82
93
Jared McCannSEA · L
62.5
28.6
33.9
199.5
19.0
56.5
40.0
20.8
82
94
Logan CooleyUTA · C
62.0
30.1
31.9
163.5
16.8
82.2
36.2
45.5
82
95
Victor HedmanTBL · D
62.0
10.7
51.3
170.2
24.0
58.9
123.7
38.2
82
96
Miro HeiskanenDAL · D
61.5
10.6
50.9
174.3
28.0
36.9
130.9
29.7
82
97
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
61.1
13.9
47.2
167.5
19.5
59.9
120.7
33.8
82
98
Jordan KyrouWSH · R
61.0
27.9
33.1
221.3
17.2
28.0
32.8
15.1
82
99
Nazem KadriCOL · C
61.0
23.9
37.0
249.0
21.4
61.4
28.9
45.4
82
100
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L
60.9
25.0
35.8
167.9
21.9
136.2
71.7
50.3
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.