ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
58.8
25.8
33.0
192.1
24.7
123.8
49.4
31.7
82
102
71.2
27.2
44.0
191.8
13.9
118.4
40.7
73.2
82
103
80.2
29.2
50.9
191.4
28.9
133.4
45.2
40.2
82
104
69.1
27.3
41.8
191.0
20.2
23.7
49.6
22.0
82
105
54.2
23.5
30.7
190.9
10.7
146.9
47.4
67.6
82
106
58.3
23.8
34.5
190.9
10.6
82.2
45.5
19.4
82
107
73.4
33.9
39.5
190.8
22.6
24.6
38.1
16.2
82
108
59.8
26.0
33.8
189.8
10.1
181.7
52.7
25.9
82
109
58.7
23.3
35.5
189.2
17.1
116.6
71.0
23.3
82
110
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
111
69.3
28.2
41.2
186.2
24.9
72.1
41.6
30.3
82
112
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
113
69.7
30.7
39.1
185.2
29.0
137.8
27.3
37.6
82
114
42.3
25.6
16.8
184.4
5.6
172.7
27.3
46.0
82
115
38.5
16.1
22.4
184.3
6.2
72.5
23.0
32.4
82
116
46.1
22.8
23.3
183.1
8.9
71.1
26.7
23.3
82
117
42.7
21.2
21.5
182.5
8.9
44.7
23.9
34.0
82
118
35.2
18.3
17.0
182.2
4.5
34.0
28.2
29.6
82
119
56.9
27.3
29.6
181.1
21.1
63.9
32.0
14.3
82
120
38.8
14.1
24.7
180.7
8.8
102.1
29.8
38.9
82
121
47.1
10.9
36.1
179.2
11.4
70.5
172.4
32.0
82
122
87.8
28.0
59.8
178.9
34.5
74.3
64.3
24.6
82
123
55.5
27.2
28.2
178.7
6.7
76.5
44.7
26.9
82
124
28.4
7.4
21.0
178.2
1.4
158.5
163.7
89.6
82
125
57.2
13.3
43.9
178.2
25.0
42.8
159.8
14.2
82
126
92.3
27.2
65.0
178.0
28.5
51.8
48.0
21.3
82
127
92.5
36.0
56.4
177.9
22.7
54.1
49.9
51.8
82
128
75.1
26.1
49.0
177.5
27.8
48.0
30.1
22.5
82
129
35.6
9.6
26.1
177.5
5.8
32.8
94.4
32.6
82
130
72.4
20.6
51.8
177.3
28.5
36.0
45.6
27.5
82
131
76.3
25.2
51.1
177.3
26.7
176.3
49.6
50.2
82
132
62.8
25.4
37.4
177.1
17.7
18.2
16.0
19.5
82
133
59.0
11.3
47.7
176.8
16.8
51.0
135.7
31.6
82
134
51.2
22.2
29.0
176.2
10.0
78.1
38.7
48.3
82
135
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
136
54.1
28.1
26.0
175.7
18.2
102.5
24.7
30.1
82
137
49.2
12.4
36.8
175.5
19.1
42.4
90.9
59.2
82
138
53.0
20.9
32.0
174.8
13.0
33.3
22.3
63.4
82
139
63.6
31.3
32.3
174.6
14.7
228.7
67.3
126.9
82
140
61.5
10.6
50.9
174.3
28.0
36.9
130.9
29.7
82
141
49.2
13.0
36.2
173.8
13.1
26.5
20.3
26.4
82
142
84.5
32.0
52.5
173.6
30.3
64.3
58.5
20.3
82
143
38.6
8.2
30.5
172.8
10.5
197.2
178.7
65.9
82
144
48.8
19.7
29.1
172.1
13.0
97.1
36.8
49.4
82
145
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
146
62.0
10.7
51.3
170.2
24.0
58.9
123.7
38.2
82
147
43.6
16.7
27.0
170.1
11.4
51.9
41.7
41.1
82
148
39.5
22.1
17.5
170.0
8.1
395.2
32.9
49.7
82
149
48.0
18.5
29.5
169.9
12.2
55.4
24.6
17.2
82
150
50.3
20.4
29.9
169.8
8.2
37.3
60.4
15.1
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.