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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
Ryan McLeodBUF · C
46.7
14.7
32.0
97.5
5.5
28.8
34.2
17.2
82
152
Valeri NichushkinCBJ · R
58.7
26.7
32.0
195.5
10.3
89.7
36.0
22.7
82
153
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
55.0
23.0
32.0
214.6
16.8
66.3
121.8
60.9
82
154
Logan CooleyUTA · C
62.0
30.1
31.9
163.5
16.8
82.2
36.2
45.5
82
155
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
47.7
16.1
31.6
107.4
9.7
33.2
27.3
19.2
82
156
Taylor HallCAR · L
51.5
20.0
31.5
161.6
8.6
60.9
38.0
42.8
82
157
Anton LundellFLA · C
50.4
19.0
31.4
168.1
11.0
93.4
50.2
42.0
82
158
Tyler SeguinDAL · C
56.1
24.8
31.3
159.9
11.9
68.8
22.7
21.1
82
159
Bo HorvatNYI · C
65.1
34.0
31.2
257.1
15.7
74.8
44.9
35.4
82
160
Alexander WennbergSJS · C
45.5
14.6
30.9
92.9
11.9
35.6
87.9
17.6
82
161
Brock NelsonCOL · C
60.8
30.0
30.9
195.6
13.8
44.9
60.4
33.4
82
162
Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample
44.1
13.3
30.8
154.5
15.3
26.4
62.2
5.4
82
163
Jordan EberleSEA · R
54.2
23.4
30.8
166.3
14.4
47.6
40.7
27.0
82
164
Jamie BennDAL · L
49.1
18.3
30.8
130.2
12.1
127.5
41.3
71.0
82
165
Sam BennettFLA · C
59.4
28.7
30.8
230.1
14.4
173.4
40.6
99.6
82
166
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · L
54.2
23.5
30.7
190.9
10.7
146.9
47.4
67.6
82
167
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
54.3
23.6
30.7
143.8
4.9
64.6
67.1
48.4
82
168
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
49.5
18.9
30.6
134.6
10.0
118.1
57.9
22.6
82
169
Cutter GauthierANA · L
65.3
34.7
30.6
265.3
18.9
85.1
31.1
26.8
82
170
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D
38.6
8.2
30.5
172.8
10.5
197.2
178.7
65.9
82
171
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
47.3
16.9
30.4
117.4
21.0
23.6
38.2
10.1
82
172
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
56.1
25.7
30.4
204.5
9.5
127.9
51.8
31.0
82
173
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
36.8
6.7
30.1
138.7
9.9
124.0
110.0
73.9
82
174
Dylan CozensOTT · C
53.7
23.7
30.0
200.0
20.0
192.9
30.5
58.6
82
175
Mike MathesonMTL · D
37.9
8.0
29.9
139.1
7.1
68.5
164.0
48.6
82
176
Jackson BlakeCAR · R
51.5
21.6
29.9
167.1
10.3
27.7
35.5
48.2
82
177
Andrew CoppDET · C
41.4
11.5
29.9
118.0
6.2
37.4
59.3
22.4
82
178
William KarlssonVGK · C
50.3
20.4
29.9
169.8
8.2
37.3
60.4
15.1
82
179
Mason MarchmentSJS · L
52.3
22.4
29.9
154.5
9.5
126.0
34.6
69.2
82
180
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
53.5
23.6
29.9
211.5
16.2
97.5
19.0
38.4
82
181
Noah HanifinVGK · D
36.3
6.5
29.8
151.5
8.3
54.7
130.2
16.7
82
182
Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L
53.6
23.8
29.8
153.0
0.9
34.3
43.0
18.3
82
183
Alexis LafrenièreNYR · L
52.0
22.3
29.7
165.2
9.8
100.3
34.3
28.8
82
184
Steven StamkosNSH · C
67.4
37.7
29.7
209.8
27.3
86.6
41.2
51.6
82
185
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D
37.1
7.4
29.7
148.7
11.9
30.3
164.7
54.9
82
186
Brock BoeserVAN · R
56.9
27.3
29.6
181.1
21.1
63.9
32.0
14.3
82
187
Jack QuinnBUF · R
48.0
18.5
29.5
169.9
12.2
55.4
24.6
17.2
82
188
Dmitry OrlovSJS · D
34.2
4.8
29.4
110.8
10.7
126.3
76.5
41.4
82
189
Zach BensonBUF · L
45.2
15.8
29.3
139.3
5.9
51.0
32.4
88.9
82
190
Sean DurziNYR · D
37.0
7.8
29.2
119.9
8.7
55.7
139.1
64.1
82
191
Boone JennerWSH · C
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
192
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
55.0
25.9
29.1
134.6
14.4
51.5
39.1
18.3
82
193
Mason McTavishSTL · C
48.8
19.7
29.1
172.1
13.0
97.1
36.8
49.4
82
194
Quinton ByfieldLAK · R
51.2
22.2
29.0
176.2
10.0
78.1
38.7
48.3
82
195
Frank NazarCHI · C
47.6
18.6
29.0
161.5
12.3
46.3
53.6
33.5
82
196
K'Andre MillerCAR · D
36.5
7.5
28.9
119.6
3.1
129.4
106.6
48.3
82
197
Justin FaulkDET · D
40.5
11.6
28.8
154.8
10.3
90.4
131.6
42.4
82
198
Connor McMichaelSTL · L
47.5
18.7
28.8
154.5
6.3
46.6
43.0
35.9
82
199
Tyler ToffoliSJS · C
54.4
25.6
28.8
209.2
16.6
58.1
28.6
13.6
82
200
Viktor ArvidssonDET · L
54.1
25.3
28.8
207.1
9.8
36.8
41.5
28.9
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.