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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Chandler StephensonSEA · C
53.1
16.2
37.0
95.5
16.4
36.2
53.9
22.5
82
102
Seth JarvisCAR · R
68.8
32.0
36.9
224.5
20.5
114.8
46.6
21.0
82
103
Vince DunnSEA · D
49.2
12.4
36.8
175.5
19.1
42.4
90.9
59.2
82
104
Torey KrugSTL · D
43.4
6.6
36.7
166.8
16.3
65.0
111.8
44.7
82
105
Claude GirouxOTT · R
52.9
16.4
36.5
152.6
15.9
66.0
31.6
21.6
82
106
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R
65.5
29.0
36.5
214.3
24.9
190.8
22.8
77.5
82
107
Gabriel VilardiWPG · C
66.2
29.8
36.4
155.8
23.7
27.1
43.1
23.1
82
108
Luke EvangelistaNSH · R
49.2
13.0
36.2
173.8
13.1
26.5
20.3
26.4
82
109
Noah DobsonMTL · D
47.1
10.9
36.1
179.2
11.4
70.5
172.4
32.0
82
110
Wyatt JohnstonDAL · C
73.8
37.9
35.9
204.8
30.3
59.9
48.3
26.6
82
111
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
58.7
22.9
35.9
220.9
17.9
40.7
110.5
38.0
82
112
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L
60.9
25.0
35.8
167.9
21.9
136.2
71.7
50.3
82
113
Matthew KniesTOR · L
60.2
24.6
35.6
146.7
13.3
171.1
37.2
36.7
82
114
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.1
23.6
35.5
139.2
16.6
76.4
27.6
25.0
82
115
Logan CoutureSJS · C
58.7
23.3
35.5
189.2
17.1
116.6
71.0
23.3
82
116
Alex PietrangeloVGK · D
42.3
7.0
35.3
160.3
6.8
59.6
180.5
25.6
82
117
Carter VerhaegheFLA · C
62.5
27.4
35.1
222.7
15.1
85.4
25.7
39.0
82
118
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
57.8
22.8
35.0
159.1
15.7
43.3
36.7
33.5
82
119
Kevin FialaLAK · L
64.7
29.8
34.9
232.4
26.3
66.8
29.8
49.3
82
120
Devon ToewsCOL · D
43.0
8.1
34.9
143.6
3.4
47.0
109.2
29.5
82
121
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C
59.4
24.7
34.7
246.0
19.6
139.6
50.4
44.3
82
122
Thomas ChabotOTT · D
44.8
10.2
34.5
166.9
10.5
61.6
152.4
32.3
82
123
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · R
58.3
23.8
34.5
190.9
10.6
82.2
45.5
19.4
82
124
Dylan GuentherUTA · R
71.6
37.2
34.4
246.2
26.2
72.1
35.6
29.0
82
125
Seth JonesFLA · D
45.7
11.3
34.4
159.3
20.8
102.9
123.0
31.4
82
126
Cole CaufieldMTL · R
75.9
41.6
34.2
255.3
26.2
61.5
22.4
12.4
82
127
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
128
Morgan RiellyTOR · D
44.2
10.3
33.9
150.3
11.3
50.8
128.3
28.3
82
129
Jared McCannSEA · L
62.5
28.6
33.9
199.5
19.0
56.5
40.0
20.8
82
130
Dylan HollowaySTL · L
59.8
26.0
33.8
189.8
10.1
181.7
52.7
25.9
82
131
Alex TuchWSH · R
66.5
32.7
33.8
210.8
10.1
91.1
96.2
52.6
82
132
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D
46.9
13.2
33.7
226.3
17.1
92.8
90.9
50.6
82
133
Jonathan DrouinSTL · L
43.8
10.3
33.5
113.0
13.8
31.3
36.1
23.0
82
134
Elias LindholmBOS · C
53.5
20.3
33.2
154.2
18.3
88.7
69.7
30.8
82
135
Thomas HarleyDAL · D
43.9
10.7
33.2
148.2
11.1
51.3
151.1
25.6
82
136
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
55.4
22.2
33.2
129.7
4.7
184.6
39.5
22.5
82
137
Jordan KyrouWSH · R
61.0
27.9
33.1
221.3
17.2
28.0
32.8
15.1
82
138
Alex OvechkinWSH · L
71.5
38.4
33.1
268.1
23.1
149.9
19.2
25.6
82
139
Beckett SenneckeANA · R
57.4
24.3
33.0
200.8
13.9
97.7
24.0
57.4
82
140
Tomas HertlVGK · C
58.8
25.8
33.0
192.1
24.7
123.8
49.4
31.7
82
141
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D
39.8
6.9
32.8
163.5
10.1
38.8
78.3
48.1
82
142
Mattias EkholmEDM · D
41.0
8.2
32.8
147.6
4.4
75.5
121.9
35.8
82
143
Rickard RakellPIT · R
62.6
30.0
32.6
216.3
18.4
115.1
60.8
13.9
82
144
Brock FaberMIN · D
46.3
13.8
32.5
159.2
11.1
40.2
143.9
36.1
82
145
Marco RossiVAN · C
53.6
21.1
32.4
127.7
16.7
64.1
44.0
27.4
82
146
Tom WilsonWSH · R
63.6
31.3
32.3
174.6
14.7
228.7
67.3
126.9
82
147
Sean MonahanCBJ · C
50.7
18.4
32.2
155.5
14.2
46.0
40.2
17.6
82
148
Cam FowlerSTL · D
38.9
6.7
32.2
102.1
12.1
15.8
89.9
15.8
82
149
Kris LetangPIT · D
39.9
7.8
32.1
148.2
11.6
126.0
112.0
57.7
82
150
Matvei MichkovPHI · R
53.0
20.9
32.0
174.8
13.0
33.3
22.3
63.4
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.