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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pp points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pp points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
61.1
13.9
47.2
167.5
19.5
59.9
120.7
33.8
82
102
Vince DunnSEA · D
49.2
12.4
36.8
175.5
19.1
42.4
90.9
59.2
82
103
Jared McCannSEA · L
62.5
28.6
33.9
199.5
19.0
56.5
40.0
20.8
82
104
Tyler BertuzziCHI · L
54.3
28.0
26.3
161.5
19.0
68.8
30.3
49.2
82
105
Darren RaddyshTOR · D
56.9
15.9
41.0
187.4
19.0
76.0
80.0
52.1
82
106
Cutter GauthierANA · L
65.3
34.7
30.6
265.3
18.9
85.1
31.1
26.8
82
107
Anze KopitarLAK · C
58.4
18.9
39.5
123.8
18.5
45.3
73.7
10.9
82
108
Jason ZuckerBUF · L
52.4
25.3
27.1
166.7
18.4
97.3
27.1
47.7
82
109
Rickard RakellPIT · R
62.6
30.0
32.6
216.3
18.4
115.1
60.8
13.9
82
110
Elias LindholmBOS · C
53.5
20.3
33.2
154.2
18.3
88.7
69.7
30.8
82
111
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C
64.9
22.9
42.0
175.9
18.2
217.7
67.7
63.9
82
112
Chris KreiderANA · L
54.1
28.1
26.0
175.7
18.2
102.5
24.7
30.1
82
113
Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
58.7
22.9
35.9
220.9
17.9
40.7
110.5
38.0
82
114
Luke HughesNJD · D
45.3
7.8
37.5
161.0
17.9
23.3
63.6
30.9
82
115
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
116
Zach HymanEDM · L
66.1
39.8
26.3
240.2
17.8
119.9
29.6
41.6
82
117
Will SmithSJS · C
62.8
25.4
37.4
177.1
17.7
18.2
16.0
19.5
82
118
Trevor ZegrasPHI · C
60.3
22.9
37.4
161.7
17.5
61.6
31.2
69.7
82
119
Adrian KempeLAK · R
74.0
35.9
38.1
237.1
17.5
121.7
38.6
55.0
82
120
Jordan KyrouWSH · R
61.0
27.9
33.1
221.3
17.2
28.0
32.8
15.1
82
121
Dougie HamiltonNJD · D
46.9
13.2
33.7
226.3
17.1
92.8
90.9
50.6
82
122
Logan CoutureSJS · C
58.7
23.3
35.5
189.2
17.1
116.6
71.0
23.3
82
123
John CarlsonTBL · D
59.0
11.3
47.7
176.8
16.8
51.0
135.7
31.6
82
124
Logan CooleyUTA · C
62.0
30.1
31.9
163.5
16.8
82.2
36.2
45.5
82
125
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
55.0
23.0
32.0
214.6
16.8
66.3
121.8
60.9
82
126
William EklundOTT · L
55.6
16.5
39.2
169.7
16.8
65.5
55.3
32.6
82
127
Marco RossiVAN · C
53.6
21.1
32.4
127.7
16.7
64.1
44.0
27.4
82
128
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.1
23.6
35.5
139.2
16.6
76.4
27.6
25.0
82
129
Tyler ToffoliSJS · C
54.4
25.6
28.8
209.2
16.6
58.1
28.6
13.6
82
130
Chandler StephensonSEA · C
53.1
16.2
37.0
95.5
16.4
36.2
53.9
22.5
82
131
Josh NorrisBUF · C
54.0
25.4
28.6
143.4
16.3
118.2
53.2
51.9
82
132
Leo CarlssonANA · C
65.8
28.1
37.8
194.6
16.3
26.3
35.3
27.1
82
133
Filip HronekVAN · D
46.9
7.5
39.5
133.6
16.3
124.8
96.4
38.8
82
134
Torey KrugSTL · D
43.4
6.6
36.7
166.8
16.3
65.0
111.8
44.7
82
135
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH · C
53.5
23.6
29.9
211.5
16.2
97.5
19.0
38.4
82
136
Morgan GeekieBOS · C
58.8
32.5
26.4
162.8
16.1
118.0
36.5
26.9
82
137
Claude GirouxOTT · R
52.9
16.4
36.5
152.6
15.9
66.0
31.6
21.6
82
138
Bo HorvatNYI · C
65.1
34.0
31.2
257.1
15.7
74.8
44.9
35.4
82
139
Pavel BuchnevichSTL · L
57.8
22.8
35.0
159.1
15.7
43.3
36.7
33.5
82
140
Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample
44.1
13.3
30.8
154.5
15.3
26.4
62.2
5.4
82
141
Matt CoronatoCGY · R
45.6
19.8
25.8
194.3
15.3
28.2
28.2
29.6
82
142
Carter VerhaegheFLA · C
62.5
27.4
35.1
222.7
15.1
85.4
25.7
39.0
82
143
Tom WilsonWSH · R
63.6
31.3
32.3
174.6
14.7
228.7
67.3
126.9
82
144
Josh DoanBUF · R
49.0
21.7
27.3
167.2
14.6
84.8
28.1
24.7
82
145
Oliver BjorkstrandNYR · R
40.7
16.4
24.3
153.4
14.6
83.1
36.7
15.9
82
146
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L28 sample
55.0
25.9
29.1
134.6
14.4
51.5
39.1
18.3
82
147
Sam BennettFLA · C
59.4
28.7
30.8
230.1
14.4
173.4
40.6
99.6
82
148
Jordan EberleSEA · R
54.2
23.4
30.8
166.3
14.4
47.6
40.7
27.0
82
149
Morgan FrostCGY · C
41.8
18.6
23.2
144.1
14.3
64.8
48.7
25.9
82
150
Troy TerryANA · R
68.6
24.3
44.4
203.7
14.3
10.1
26.2
19.7
82

No consistency figure for pp points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that pp points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.