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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Justin FaulkDET · D
40.5
11.6
28.8
154.8
10.3
90.4
131.6
42.4
82
202
Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R
28.6
14.4
14.2
154.7
1.9
106.5
42.3
22.9
82
203
Connor McMichaelSTL · L
47.5
18.7
28.8
154.5
6.3
46.6
43.0
35.9
82
204
Mason MarchmentSJS · L
52.3
22.4
29.9
154.5
9.5
126.0
34.6
69.2
82
205
Matvei GridinCGY · R37 sample
44.1
13.3
30.8
154.5
15.3
26.4
62.2
5.4
82
206
Elias LindholmBOS · C
53.5
20.3
33.2
154.2
18.3
88.7
69.7
30.8
82
207
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ · L
44.3
22.8
21.5
154.1
11.4
111.7
43.5
68.8
82
208
Michael BuntingNSH · L
42.3
17.9
24.4
153.6
13.9
62.0
24.3
48.3
82
209
Fabian ZetterlundOTT · L
34.6
17.0
17.6
153.4
8.1
146.9
48.2
18.0
82
210
Oliver BjorkstrandNYR · R
40.7
16.4
24.3
153.4
14.6
83.1
36.7
15.9
82
211
Mikhail SergachevUTA · D
58.9
11.0
47.9
153.2
23.8
62.5
143.1
45.0
82
212
Aliaksei ProtasWSH · L
53.6
23.8
29.8
153.0
0.9
34.3
43.0
18.3
82
213
Claude GirouxOTT · R
52.9
16.4
36.5
152.6
15.9
66.0
31.6
21.6
82
214
Victor OlofssonVGK · R
35.5
16.7
18.8
152.6
9.3
27.8
22.0
9.7
82
215
Jack RoslovicTOR · C
40.9
20.3
20.6
152.5
5.5
47.4
32.7
16.4
82
216
Yegor SharangovichCGY · C
36.4
18.8
17.6
152.3
8.5
20.2
35.5
11.9
82
217
Noah HanifinVGK · D
36.3
6.5
29.8
151.5
8.3
54.7
130.2
16.7
82
218
Barrett HaytonUTA · C
35.9
14.8
21.0
151.3
9.7
43.8
38.9
55.8
82
219
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
59.7
13.9
45.7
150.7
29.1
45.9
83.1
39.8
82
220
Alex KillornANA · L
40.0
18.6
21.3
150.5
8.3
76.7
28.7
42.4
82
221
Sam MalinskiCOL · D
31.6
7.3
24.3
150.5
1.2
52.5
102.2
19.9
82
222
Sean CouturierPHI · C
40.5
13.1
27.4
150.4
2.8
98.3
44.5
37.0
82
223
Joel FarabeeCGY · L
36.5
17.7
18.8
150.4
3.8
66.0
51.0
32.6
82
224
Morgan RiellyTOR · D
44.2
10.3
33.9
150.3
11.3
50.8
128.3
28.3
82
225
Dylan StromeWSH · C
67.1
23.1
44.0
150.2
25.1
17.1
54.4
37.6
82
226
Dawson MercerNJD · C
40.1
20.3
19.9
149.8
6.8
38.3
50.0
28.3
82
227
Cole GuttmanLAK · C
27.7
14.4
13.3
149.7
7.3
38.6
45.9
21.4
82
228
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
31.7
6.6
25.1
149.0
2.1
76.6
100.9
39.5
82
229
Neal PionkWPG · D
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
230
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D
37.1
7.4
29.7
148.7
11.9
30.3
164.7
54.9
82
231
Will CuylleNYR · L
36.8
18.6
18.2
148.3
5.6
291.3
56.1
57.2
82
232
Thomas HarleyDAL · D
43.9
10.7
33.2
148.2
11.1
51.3
151.1
25.6
82
233
Kris LetangPIT · D
39.9
7.8
32.1
148.2
11.6
126.0
112.0
57.7
82
234
Mattias EkholmEDM · D
41.0
8.2
32.8
147.6
4.4
75.5
121.9
35.8
82
235
Eeli TolvanenSEA · R
37.6
16.5
21.1
147.5
11.0
206.6
76.7
27.5
82
236
Matty BeniersSEA · C
47.3
19.8
27.6
147.4
10.7
41.0
66.8
19.1
82
237
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY · L
54.0
20.0
34.0
146.9
17.8
56.2
50.0
50.8
82
238
Matthew KniesTOR · L
60.2
24.6
35.6
146.7
13.3
171.1
37.2
36.7
82
239
Kevin HayesPIT · R
31.4
14.7
16.7
146.6
6.2
68.5
21.0
17.5
82
240
Matt DucheneDAL · C
69.2
24.7
44.4
146.3
24.5
38.6
36.0
18.4
82
241
Emil HeinemanNYI · L
28.6
19.3
9.3
146.3
4.6
240.4
48.2
19.9
82
242
Cole SillingerCBJ · C
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.1
1.9
111.0
49.3
39.9
82
243
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C
55.6
18.1
37.5
146.0
14.1
84.7
48.6
75.2
82
244
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
38.7
18.9
19.8
145.6
5.3
90.4
20.8
43.3
82
245
Adam FoxNYR · D
74.6
13.0
61.6
145.2
30.3
42.0
122.8
34.4
82
246
Robert ThomasSTL · C
85.2
27.7
57.5
144.8
21.1
18.3
49.4
31.3
82
247
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
38.7
21.8
16.9
144.6
2.7
215.6
52.3
42.7
82
248
Anthony ManthaNJD · R
55.9
28.2
27.7
144.3
10.6
69.0
40.2
53.4
82
249
Morgan FrostCGY · C
41.8
18.6
23.2
144.1
14.3
64.8
48.7
25.9
82
250
Anthony CirelliTBL · C
54.3
23.6
30.7
143.8
4.9
64.6
67.1
48.4
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.