Sat, Jan 10, 2026
Archived sheet
10 of 14 games had posted player lines
Archived Assists
14 games · 145 props. These are the lines as they stood on that date — not current, and not a forecast for any game being played now.
The model has not beaten the Pinnacle closing line: shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games. How this was measured
14 games · 145 A props · sorted by projection
Line is the book's posted threshold · Proj is the model's mean · P(over) is the modelled probability of finishing above the line. Each bar is P(A = k) — the whole distribution, not a pick. Research context, not a recommendation.
New York Rangers at Boston Bruins
1:00 PM ETGame page
Line
0.5
Proj
0.6
P(over)
42%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.5
P(over)
40%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.5
P(over)
37%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
35%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
35%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
35%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
33%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
31%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.4
P(over)
30%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
28%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
28%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
28%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
27%
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
23%
No line posted.
Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins
3:30 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche
4:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
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Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks
4:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
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Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
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No line posted.
Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
No line posted.
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No line posted.
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No line posted.
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Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
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No line posted.
No line posted.
Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes
7:00 PM ETGame page
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
No line posted.
Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators
8:00 PM ETGame pageNo props in this market for this game.
New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild
8:00 PM ETGame pageNo props in this market for this game.
Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers
10:00 PM ETGame pageNo props in this market for this game.
St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights
10:00 PM ETGame pageNo props in this market for this game.
NHL · Shots on goal
Distributions, not picks.
OddPuck projects a full shots-on-goal distribution for every skater on the slate — P(SOG = k) against the book's posted line — from five seasons of play-by-play. No units, no plays of the day. You read the shape and draw your own conclusions.
They were measured against the Pinnacle closing line, which they do not beat — shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games, and the model's disagreement with the market carries no signal a paired test can separate from betting the other side instead. That is the measured result, reported rather than buried.
The signature — P(SOG = k) vs the line
Bars right of the line clear it; each height is the modelled probability. Positional, never a verdict.